{"id":22,"date":"2025-11-19T05:48:54","date_gmt":"2025-11-19T05:48:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climaax.kezdi.ro\/?page_id=22"},"modified":"2026-01-15T09:58:49","modified_gmt":"2026-01-15T09:58:49","slug":"cercetarea-noastra","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/climaax.kezdi.ro\/ro\/cercetarea-noastra\/","title":{"rendered":"Cercetarea noastr\u0103"},"content":{"rendered":"

Concluzii \/ FAZA 1 (rezumat)<\/h2>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u00cen cadrul Fazei 1 a proiectului CLIMAAX, membrii echipei K\u00c9ZDI_adapt au devenit competen\u021bi \u00een utilizarea metodologiei comune CLIMAAX. Au dob\u00e2ndit cuno\u0219tin\u021be teoretice suplimentare privind riscul climatic, rezilien\u021ba \u0219i adaptarea, ceea ce le-a permis s\u0103 \u00ee\u0219i \u00eembun\u0103t\u0103\u021beasc\u0103 \u00een\u021belegerea factorilor locali de risc prin utilizarea seturilor de date europene. Ca rezultat, echipa a reu\u0219it s\u0103 implementeze \u0219i s\u0103 utilizeze fluxuri de lucru complet personalizate pentru evaluarea regional\u0103 a pericolelor \u0219i riscurilor legate de seceta agricol\u0103 \u0219i inunda\u021biile fluviale.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Constat\u0103ri principale<\/b><\/strong><\/p>\n

SECET\u0102 AGRICOL\u0102<\/strong><\/p>\n

Porumb:<\/b><\/strong><\/p>\n

Se observ\u0103 o pierdere u\u0219oar\u0103 de produc\u021bie \u00een scenariul RCP 2.6 (+0,582%), \u00eens\u0103 o sc\u0103dere semnificativ\u0103 \u00een cazul RCP 4.5 (\u20136,946%). \u00cen schimb, scenariul RCP 8.5 conduce la o cre\u0219tere accentuat\u0103 (+10,133%), indic\u00e2nd o vulnerabilitate ridicat\u0103 la schimb\u0103rile climatice extreme.<\/p>\n

Gr\u00e2u:<\/b><\/strong><\/p>\n

Pierderile de produc\u021bie cresc \u00een scenariul RCP 2.6 (+4,786%), dar scad \u00een scenariile RCP 4.5 (\u20131,768%) \u0219i RCP 8.5 (\u20134,596%).<\/p>\n

Cartof:<\/b><\/strong><\/p>\n

Prezint\u0103 un nivel ridicat de rezilien\u021b\u0103, cu reduceri u\u0219oare ale pierderilor de produc\u021bie \u00een scenariile RCP 2.6 \u0219i 4.5 (\u20130,735%, \u20134,036%), \u00eens\u0103 cu o cre\u0219tere \u00een scenariul RCP 8.5 (+6,231%).<\/p>\n

Rapi\u021b\u0103:<\/b><\/strong><\/p>\n

Cea mai mare pierdere de produc\u021bie la mijlocul secolului apare \u00een scenariul RCP 2.6 (+7,537%), cu cre\u0219teri mai reduse \u00een scenariile RCP 4.5 (+2,991%) \u0219i RCP 8.5 (+0,858%).<\/p>\n

Impact economic:<\/b><\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

Porumb:<\/b><\/strong> Pierderea de venit r\u0103m\u00e2ne stabil\u0103 (5.600 EUR) \u00een scenariile RCP 2.6 \u0219i 4.5, dar cre\u0219te la 6.400 EUR \u00een scenariul RCP 8.5.<\/p>\n

Gr\u00e2u:<\/b><\/strong> Pierderile sunt mai mari \u00een perioada 2046\u20132050 (320.000 EUR) pentru toate scenariile RCP, comparativ cu perioada 2026\u20132030 (280.000 EUR \u00een scenariile RCP 4.5 \u0219i 8.5).<\/p>\n

Cartof:<\/b><\/strong> R\u0103m\u00e2ne stabil din punct de vedere financiar, cu o pierdere constant\u0103 de 48.000 EUR.<\/p>\n

Rapi\u021b\u0103:<\/b><\/strong> Pierderea cre\u0219te \u00een perioada 2046\u20132050 \u00een scenariul RCP 8.5 (640.000 EUR), dar se stabilizeaz\u0103 la 560.000 EUR \u00een scenariile RCP 2.6 \u0219i 4.5.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

INUNDA\u021aII FLUVIALE<\/b><\/strong><\/p>\n

Limit\u0103rile datelor privind hazardul de inunda\u021bie:<\/b><\/strong><\/p>\n

Setul de date acoper\u0103 doar bazine hidrografice mari (>150 km\u00b2) \u0219i nu include informa\u021bii despre protec\u021bia \u00eempotriva inunda\u021biilor, ceea ce genereaz\u0103 inexactit\u0103\u021bi.<\/p>\n

Perioada de revenire de 250 de ani:<\/b><\/strong><\/p>\n

Limit\u0103rile datelor conduc la h\u0103r\u021bi de inunda\u021bie nesigure, \u00een special pentru proiec\u021biile pe termen lung.<\/p>\n

Evolu\u021bia pagubelor cauzate de inunda\u021bii:<\/b><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00cen scenariul RCP 8.5, pagubele produse de inunda\u021bii cresc rapid, iar terenurile agricole sunt mai vulnerabile dec\u00e2t zonele reziden\u021biale.<\/p>\n

Perioade de revenire mai lungi:<\/b><\/strong><\/p>\n

Determin\u0103 o suprafa\u021b\u0103 inundat\u0103 mai extins\u0103 \u00een ambele scenarii analizate.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

CONCLUZIE<\/b><\/strong><\/p>\n

Agricultura se confrunt\u0103 cu riscuri semnificative \u00een scenariile climatice extreme, \u00een special pentru porumb \u0219i rapi\u021b\u0103, \u00een timp ce cartoful r\u0103m\u00e2ne cultura cea mai rezilient\u0103. Riscurile de inunda\u021bii fluviale se accentueaz\u0103 \u00een scenariul RCP 8.5, cu pagube mai mari \u0219i cu o rat\u0103 de cre\u0219tere mai rapid\u0103. Limit\u0103rile datelor afecteaz\u0103 evalu\u0103rile riscului de inunda\u021bii pe termen lung, fiind necesar\u0103 \u00eembun\u0103t\u0103\u021birea model\u0103rii \u0219i integrarea m\u0103surilor de protec\u021bie \u00eempotriva inunda\u021biilor.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

 <\/p>\n

CERCETAREA COMPLET\u0102 \u00ceN LIMBA ENGLEZ\u0102 POATE FI CONSULTAT AICI<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Concluzii \/ FAZA 1 (rezumat)   \u00cen cadrul Fazei 1 a proiectului CLIMAAX, membrii echipei K\u00c9ZDI_adapt au devenit competen\u021bi \u00een utilizarea metodologiei comune CLIMAAX. Au dob\u00e2ndit cuno\u0219tin\u021be teoretice suplimentare privind riscul climatic, rezilien\u021ba \u0219i adaptarea, ceea ce le-a permis s\u0103 \u00ee\u0219i \u00eembun\u0103t\u0103\u021beasc\u0103 \u00een\u021belegerea factorilor locali de risc prin utilizarea seturilor de date europene. Ca rezultat, […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"page-research.php","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-22","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/climaax.kezdi.ro\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/22","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/climaax.kezdi.ro\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/climaax.kezdi.ro\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climaax.kezdi.ro\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climaax.kezdi.ro\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=22"}],"version-history":[{"count":10,"href":"https:\/\/climaax.kezdi.ro\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/22\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":820,"href":"https:\/\/climaax.kezdi.ro\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/22\/revisions\/820"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/climaax.kezdi.ro\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=22"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}